YOUNGSTOWN STATE UNIVERSITY

Department of Mathematics and Statistics
STAT 5843/6943, Theory of Probability/Mathematical Statistics I, Fall 2008

Exam 3 is postponed to Nov. 21, Friday

Instructor:

Dr. Guang-Hwa Andy Chang

Office:

1036 Cushwa Hall

Phone No.:

(330) 941-1818

E-mail:

gchang@ysu.edu    

Webpage:

http://www.cc.ysu.edu/~ghchang/

Office hours:

10:00 – 11:00 am MWF and 12:00 – 1:00 pm M at Cushwa 1036;

And 1:00 – 2:00 pm, T at MAC; or by appointment

Text:

1.      John E. Freund's Mathematical Statistics with Applications, 7th edition, Miller & Miller, Prentice Hall, 2004.

2.      ACTEX Study Manual for the SOA Exam P and CAS Exam 1, by Samuel A. Broverman

 

Course Description:   The mathematical foundation of probability theory including the study of discrete and continuous distributions.  Other topics selected from limit theorems, generating functions, stochastic processes, and applications. (Random variables, their distributions and densities. Families and exponential families of distribution. Independence, joint distributions, conditional probability and expectation. Convergence and limit theorems.)

Course Assignments:

     Chapter

           Contents                           Click here Þ Homework and Due Dates

1

 Introduction   Lecture Note 1     

2

 Probability     Lecture Note 2     

3

 Probability Distributions and Probability Densities

4

 Mathematical Expectation

5

 Special Probability Distributions    

 

       Lecture Vidoes for 10/27 and 10/29  (Assignment due 11/3)

 10/27:   Bernoulli and Binomial Distribution [44:21]

 10/29:   Negative Binomial, Geometric, and Poisson Distribution  [45:04]

6

 Special Probability Densities

7

 Functions of Random Variables

8

 Sampling Distributions

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Grading Policy:
    Three Regular Exams (each 30%)
    Homework & Class Work (50%)
    Final Exam (20%)
    Total 100%

Final Grade:
    90% to 100% ======== A
    80% to below 90% ==== at least a B
    70% to below 80% ==== at least a C
    60% to below 70% ==== at least a D
    below 60%  ========= at most a D

Tentative schedule of tests:

Exam I

  9/19, Friday

Exam II

10/17, Friday

Exam III

11/14, Friday

Final

To be arranged

 

Make-up policy:
Make-up tests will only be given to student who misses a test due to an extreme emergency and has notified the instructor within 24 hours after the exam, or a sufficient time period before the exam. The student will be expected to provide verification, such as signed statement and phone number, to verify the reason for his or her absence from the exam. No make-up quizzes will be given.

Homework and projects:
Homework will be assigned and collected. "Study group" is strongly encouraged. However, each student must hand in their own write-up. If you are having trouble, please see me right away. I recommend that you work on the homework corresponding to the latest lecture as soon as it is assigned. Graduate students will be expected to do extra problems for their tests and homework.  Class activities including problem solving and presentations will be the important part of the course.

Attendance:
It is expected that you will make every possible effort to attend all classes. Students who missed class are responsible for finding out any pertinent information concerning the course from the instructor.

Recommendations:
Successful students have found that the subject demands frequent intensive study with lots of problem solving. Participating in group discussions is always helpful to yourself and others in learning. If you have any special problem or learning difficulties, please see me immediately. A scientific hand calculator maybe needed.

An Online Actuarial Exams Practice Site for Exam P, FM, and MLC:  http://www.saab.org/actuarial.html